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Key Moments

  • UOB Group analysts expect USD/JPY to trade in a 157.90 to 158.80 intraday range.
  • Recent price action showed a dip to 157.73 and rebound to 158.53, with the pair closing at 158.25 (+0.06%).
  • On a 1-3 week horizon, USD/JPY is projected to remain in a broader consolidation band between 157.10 and 159.10.

Short-Term Trading Outlook

UOB Group’s FX strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann indicated that the US Dollar is now expected to move within a slightly higher intraday range against the Japanese Yen, between 157.90 and 158.80.

They noted that in the prior session, the team had anticipated a 157.60 to 158.60 range. The US Dollar subsequently fell to 157.73, then recovered to 158.53, before ending the day almost unchanged at 158.25, a gain of 0.06%.

According to the analysts: “Yesterday, we were of the view that USD ‘is likely to trade in a range between 157.60 and 158.60’. USD then dipped to 157.73, rebounded to 158.53 before closing largely unchanged at 158.25 (+0.06%). The price action has resulted in a slight increase in upward momentum, but instead of a continued advance, USD is more likely to trade in a higher range of 157.90/158.80.”

Medium-Term Consolidation Scenario

Looking at the 1-3 week perspective, UOB Group maintains its earlier assessment that USD/JPY has entered a consolidation phase.

The strategists reiterated: “We continue to hold the same view as yesterday (21 Jan, spot at 158.15). As stated, USD ‘appears to have entered a consolidation phase’, and for the time being, USD ‘is likely to trade between 157.10 and 159.10’.”

Key Levels in Focus

HorizonExpected RangeAdditional Details
Previous 24-hour view157.60 – 158.60USD dipped to 157.73, rose to 158.53, then closed at 158.25 (+0.06%)
Current 24-hour view157.90 – 158.80Analysts see slightly stronger upward momentum but no clear breakout
1-3 weeks view157.10 – 159.10USD/JPY considered to be in a consolidation phase
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