Key Moments
- XRP trades below $1.093 and XLM around $0.146 on Tuesday, with bears maintaining control in both markets.
- On-chain and derivatives data show sell-side dominance for XRP and XLM, signaling a deteriorating risk backdrop.
- Momentum indicators such as RSI and MACD remain weak for both tokens, reinforcing the potential for additional downside.
Market Overview
Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) continue to face heavy selling pressure, with XRP changing hands below $1.093 and XLM trading near $0.146 on Tuesday. Sellers remain firmly in charge of price action, and softening on-chain and derivatives metrics indicate that both assets could be vulnerable to an extended correction in the sessions ahead.
On-chain and Derivatives Signals Turn Cautious
According to CryptoQuant’s summary data, the broader backdrop for XRP and XLM appears negative. In XRP’s spot and futures markets, large whale transactions align with a clear sell-side bias. Spot trading conditions are described as heated, underscoring a cautious and bearish tilt among Ripple participants.
Conditions are similarly weak for Stellar. Both the spot and futures segments of the XLM market display sell-side dominance, pointing to a pessimistic stance among traders.
| Asset | Spot/Futures Bias | Sentiment Indication |
|---|---|---|
| XRP | Whale activity with sell-side dominance | Bearish, cautious positioning |
| XLM | Sell-side dominance in spot and futures | Negative trader outlook |
Derivatives positioning offers a mixed but generally fragile picture. CoinGlass data show XRP’s long-to-short ratio turning slightly positive at 1.02 on Tuesday, hinting at a modest improvement in positioning.
By contrast, XLM’s long-to-short ratio stays in clearly negative territory at 0.64, its lowest reading in over a month. A ratio below 1 reflects a bearish stance, as a larger share of traders position for further price declines.
| Asset | Long-to-short ratio (Tuesday) | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| XRP | 1.02 | Modest bullish bias in derivatives |
| XLM | 0.64 | Bearish sentiment, lowest in over a month |
XRP Technical Setup: $1.00 Psychological Level in Focus
XRP trades near $1.093 on Tuesday as its downtrend extends. The token remains firmly below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages, which are grouped between approximately $1.290 and $1.370, underscoring a firmly capped structure.
The Relative Strength Index is deeply oversold around 26, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator remains in negative territory. This configuration suggests ongoing selling pressure, though short-lived rebounds cannot be excluded given the stretched momentum profile.
| XRP Technical Level | Price | Role |
|---|---|---|
| Current price (Tuesday) | $1.093 | Ongoing bearish phase |
| Initial resistance | $1.160 | First topside hurdle |
| 50-day EMA | $1.294 | Converging resistance zone |
| Horizontal barrier | $1.300 | Key resistance band |
| 100-day EMA | $1.303 | Reinforcing resistance |
| 200-day EMA | $1.365 | Broader bearish structure |
| Higher resistance | $1.540, $1.900 | Further upside hurdles |
| Key support | $1.000 | Psychological downside target |
On the upside, XRP first faces resistance at $1.160, followed by a heavy supply cluster where the 50-day EMA at $1.294, the horizontal barrier at $1.300, and the 100-day EMA at $1.303 converge. The 200-day EMA at $1.365 maintains a broader negative framework, with additional resistance cited at $1.540 and $1.900. On the downside, the $1.000 psychological zone is the next notable support, where buyers may attempt to counter further weakness if the prevailing downtrend persists.
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