Forex Market: EUR/CHF daily forecast

During yesterday’s trading session EUR/CHF traded within the range of 1.2159-1.2177 and closed at 1.2160, losing 0.08% on a daily basis.

At 6:34 GMT today EUR/CHF was losing 0.02% for the day to trade at 1.2159. The pair touched a daily low at 1.2157 at 2:35 GMT.

Fundamental view

Euro zone

The preliminary Gross domestic product (GDP) in Italy, the third largest economy in the Euro zone, probably rose 0.1% in the second quarter from the previous quarter, when it declined 0.1%. At the same time, the Italian GDP may have risen 0.1% in the second quarter compared to year ago, following a 0.5% slump in the previous quarter.

The preliminary GDP is a gauge of economic activity. The index is defined as the difference between the value of all goods and services produced and the cost of raw materials that were used for their creation. GDP measured at market prices reflects production activities of local firms. The cost method is applied as follows: GDP = private cost + state definitive cost + gross fixed capital expenditure + change in inventories + investments in stocks, with the exception of those made ​​in precious metals + Import – Export. It is expressed as a percentage change from the previous quarter/year.

Higher than expected readings, would support euros demand. The National Institute for Statistics (Istat) is scheduled to release an official report at 9:00 GMT.

Switzerland

The annualized index of consumer prices (CPI) in Switzerland probably was flat in July, unchanged from Junes reading. In monthly terms, consumer prices probably declined 0.4% last month, following an unexpected 0.1% drop in June. In case the CPI declined less than anticipated, this would have a bullish effect on the franc. The official report is to be released at 7:15 GMT.

Technical view

According to Binary Tribune’s daily analysis, the central pivot point for the pair is at 1.2165. In case EUR/CHF manages to breach the first resistance level at 1.2172, it will probably continue up to test 1.2183. In case the second key resistance is broken, the pair will probably attempt to advance to 1.2190.

If EUR/CHF manages to breach the first key support at 1.2154, it will probably continue to slide and test 1.2147. With this second key support broken, the movement to the downside will probably continue to 1.2136.

In weekly terms, the central pivot point is at 1.2163. The three key resistance levels are as follows: R1 – 1.2180, R2 – 1.2195, R3 – 1.2212. The three key support levels are: S1 – 1.2148, S2 – 1.2131, S3 – 1.2116.