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Polish Inflation Hits Target, Rate Cut Bets Rise

July 1, 2026 10:27 am
Key Moments Headline inflation in Poland moved down from 3.1% to 2.5%, matching the National Bank of Poland’s official target. Market pricing has shifted from potential rate hikes to rate cuts, with about 10bp in longer-term easing now reflected in rates. EUR/PLN has tested the 4.300 resistance level and could move higher if the NBP […] Read more

European Gas Futures Rise Diplomacy Stall Risk Return

July 1, 2026 10:01 am
Key Moments ICE Dutch TTF Natural Gas Futures rose to 43.80 euros per megawatt-hour, the highest level since June 15. UK gas prices reached 104.8 pence per therm, matching a two-week high. Iran’s boycott of planned talks with U.S. officials in Doha rekindled concerns over Middle Eastern LNG supply routes. Benchmark European Contracts Hit Multi-Week […] Read more

Crude Slips as Traders Track Iran-US Talks US StocksEIA

July 1, 2026 9:50 am
Key Moments Brent crude dropped $1.14, or 1.6%, to $71.81 a barrel, while U.S. WTI declined $1.11, or 1.6%, to $68.39 a barrel at 0859 GMT. Analysts have lowered their 2026 oil price projections for the first time since the Iran war started, as the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz eased supply concerns. Official […] Read more

Tesla Q2 Deliveries Seen Rising on European EV Momentum

July 1, 2026 9:20 am
Key Moments Tesla’s second-quarter vehicle deliveries are expected to increase by 5%, driven mainly by stronger European demand. Wall Street forecasts 402,780 deliveries for the June quarter, a 4.9% year-over-year rise and 12.5% sequential gain, according to 20 analysts. Deutsche Bank projects nearly 40% regional growth in Europe, modest 3% growth in China, and a […] Read more

RBI Activity and State Bank Flows Keep USD/INR Range-Bound

July 1, 2026 9:12 am
Key Moments USD/INR has been slightly bid near 94.70 but remains capped below its 50-day moving average around 95.02 since mid-June. Foreign portfolio investors purchased a record INR418bn ($4.4bn) of Indian government bonds via the FAR route in June. Yields on 40-year and 50-year bonds declined to 7.38% and 7.45% in June following their inclusion […] Read more

Dollar Lifts USD/CHF as Markets Await Swiss Fed Signals

July 1, 2026 8:43 am
Key Moments USD/CHF trades around 0.8090 and has advanced for a second straight session during Asian hours on Wednesday. Fed funds futures imply nearly a 63% probability of a U.S. rate hike by September, supporting the U.S. Dollar. Switzerland’s June KOF Economic Barometer rose to 101.2 from a revised 98.6 in May, its highest reading […] Read more

Rupiah Strengthens Modestly as June Inflation Accelerates

July 1, 2026 8:32 am
Key Moments USD/IDR eased to around 17,980 during Asian trading on Wednesday, though it stayed higher for a third consecutive session. Indonesia’s annual inflation rose to 3.34% in June, exceeding the 3.20% consensus and nearing the upper end of Bank Indonesia’s 1.5% to 3.5% target band. S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for Indonesia fell to 46.9 […] Read more

Sterling Retreats as GBP/USD Pulls Back From Highs

July 1, 2026 8:24 am
Key Moments GBP/USD trades near 1.3235, down 0.20%, after pulling back from a nearly two-week high around 1.3275. Price action remains constrained below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the May-June decline and the 200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart. A decisive break below support at 1.3139 would reinforce the broader downtrend, while sustained strength above […] Read more

Canadian Dollar Slips as Safe-Haven Demand Boosts USD

July 1, 2026 6:46 am
Key Moments USD/CAD traded around 1.4220 during Asian hours on Wednesday as the pair reversed the prior day’s losses. Safe-haven demand for the US Dollar strengthened after Tehran refused direct talks with US envoys in Doha. Weakness in crude oil prices weighed on the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar, adding support to USD/CAD. Geopolitical Jitters Support USD/CAD […] Read more