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Key Moments

  • EUR/JPY trades near 176.70 during Asian hours on Tuesday, staying within a descending channel that signals a bearish bias.
  • The pair is hovering around the nine-day EMA at 176.45, with the 14-day RSI at 44.16, indicating only moderate downside momentum.
  • Upside attempts face resistance near 177.90 and the 50-day EMA at 178.72, while key support levels sit at 176.45, 175.07, and 174.30.

Technical Picture: EUR/JPY Pressured Within Descending Channel

EUR/JPY is edging lower after modest gains in the prior session, trading around 176.70 during Asian dealings on Tuesday. Daily chart signals point to the cross remaining confined within a descending channel, underlining a broadly bearish tone.

The pair is trading just above its nine-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), while price action remains constrained below the 50-period EMA. This configuration reflects a mildly negative backdrop, as the cross stays under the longer-term moving average. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 44.16, a neutral reading that implies only limited downside pressure rather than forceful selling.

Key Support and Resistance Levels

On the downside, the cross is probing immediate support at the nine-day EMA of 176.45. Below that, attention turns to the 12-month low at 175.07, which was recorded on October 30. Additional support is aligned with the lower boundary of the descending channel near 174.30. A decisive move beneath this channel floor would expose the region surrounding the 15-month low at 169.72.

On the topside, a recovery in EUR/JPY could target the upper boundary of the descending channel, which is located around 177.90. The next notable resistance is the 50-day EMA at 178.72. A sustained break above this medium-term average would mark a bullish reversal and could pave the way for the cross to revisit the area around the all-time high of 187.95, reached on April 17.

EUR/JPY – Daily Technical Levels Overview

Metric / LevelValue / Description
Current price (Asian hours Tuesday)Around 176.70
Nine-day EMA (immediate support)176.45
14-day RSI44.16
Upper boundary of descending channel (resistance)Near 177.90
50-day EMA (resistance)178.72
12-month low (support)175.07 (October 30)
Lower boundary of descending channel (support)Around 174.30
15-month low region (below channel)169.72
All-time high reference area187.95 (April 17)

Macro Backdrop: Euro Sentiment Constrained

Beyond the technical picture in EUR/JPY, broader Euro sentiment remains tempered. Analysts at DBS Group Research note that the recent softening in the Dollar does not necessarily translate into a strong case for the Euro as a replacement.

They emphasize that “Europe’s fiscal and political uncertainties, particularly in France, and its vulnerability to elevated energy prices complicate the search for viable alternatives.” According to their assessment, these overlapping risks limit how far investors may be willing to shift away from the Dollar into Eurozone assets, even in light of recent currency market moves.

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