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Key Moments

  • European wholesale gas benchmarks declined for a third straight session, touching their lowest levels in over one week.
  • A 24-hour labor strike in France that had sharply reduced sendout from the Dunkirk LNG terminal has ended, allowing regasification rates to recover.
  • EU gas storage has inched up to 68.5% capacity, still around 16 percentage points below the five-year seasonal average.

Spot Prices Retreat Across European Gas Hubs

European wholesale natural gas benchmarks extended their recent pullback on Thursday, falling for a third consecutive session as supply conditions improved following the end of industrial action in France’s energy sector.

The benchmark Dutch front-month TTF contract slipped 1.23% to about 76.98 euros per megawatt-hour (MWh), its lowest level in more than a week as prompt supply pressures moderated.

In the United Kingdom, the comparable NBP wholesale gas contract also declined 1.23%, trading around 191.00 pence per therm and similarly settling near one-week lows.

ContractMarketMovePriceTimeframe Reference
Front-month TTFDutch benchmark-1.23%76.98 euros/MWhLowest level in over one week
Equivalent NBPGreat Britain-1.23%191.00 pence/thermOne-week low

French Strike Resolution Restores LNG Sendout

The key driver behind the recent softening in European gas prices has been the resolution of a 24-hour labor strike that had disrupted France’s energy system and constrained gas flows into the continental network.

Industrial action by French energy unions on Tuesday forced Belgian operator Fluxys to sharply curtail sendout from the Dunkirk LNG terminal, France’s largest import hub. Capacity at the facility was cut from a minimum of 9.4 gigawatt-hours (GWh) per day to just 4 GWh per day during the stoppage.

With labor activity having ceased and operations stabilizing across French nuclear and gas assets, regasification at Dunkirk has started to move back toward standard levels. The restoration of French export flows through cross-border interconnectors has exerted immediate downward pressure on near-term European gas contracts, offsetting broader supply concerns linked to developments in the Persian Gulf.

EU Storage Builds, But Deficit to Norms Remains Wide

Even as front-end prices retreat, the physical market backdrop remains characterized by structural fragilities as the injection season nears its final phase.

According to data from Gas Infrastructure Europe, underground gas storage sites across the European Union have edged up to 68.5% of capacity. However, inventories remain significantly below typical levels for this point in the year, trailing the five-year seasonal average by roughly 16 percentage points at a time when facilities would usually be nearing full capacity.

Monetary Policy Tightening Keeps Winter Risk Premiums Firm

The easing in European gas prices is unfolding against the backdrop of a dense period for global central bank decisions, including recent interest rate increases by the European Central Bank and the U.S. Federal Reserve.

With policymakers underscoring that persistent energy costs are still a key component of headline inflation, energy market participants are maintaining elevated risk premia along the winter segment of the curve despite the recent short-term relief in spot prices.

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