Ripple & Stellar Hold Pivotal Levels as Bulls Test Push

Key Moments

On-chain Signals Point to Cautious Positioning

Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) have both staged sharp recoveries, with XRP climbing more than 53% and XLM rising over 27% in the last week. As of Tuesday, both assets are moving into technically important zones that could shape their next directional move, while on-chain indicators show a cautious backdrop with a mild bearish inclination.

According to CryptoQuant’s summary metrics, sentiment around XRP appears cautiously constructive. Futures positioning reflects the presence of large whale orders, but also indicates an overheated backdrop following the latest advance. Other measures remain largely neutral, producing an overall mixed read on trader positioning.

For XLM, CryptoQuant’s data shows selling pressure dominating in both markets alongside notable whale activity, underscoring a more guarded tone among participants.

Despite the split picture from broader on-chain signals, institutional interest in XRP has stayed firm. SoSoValue data showed that spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) tied to XRP posted a $13.82 million net inflow on Monday, extending a streak of inflows to five consecutive days since last week. If this pattern persists and strengthens, it could provide additional support to XRP’s ongoing advance.

XRP: Testing Overhead Resistance With Overbought Momentum

On Tuesday, XRP traded at $1.526, holding onto its more than 53% rise from the previous week. The short-term technical structure is bullish, with price action clearly above the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), which are clustered between roughly $1.157 and $1.350 and now act as a rising base for the uptrend.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI), sitting around 82, flags overbought conditions. At the same time, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator remains in positive territory, with the MACD line above its signal and the histogram still widening, pointing to strong – though stretched – upside momentum.

On the resistance side, the immediate cap aligns with Tuesday’s level at $1.526, forming a nearby horizontal barrier just above the latest trade. A subsequent resistance area is located at $1.900, where buyers could face additional headwinds if the rally extends.

On the downside, the stack of EMAs offers layered support. The 200-day EMA near $1.350 is the first major backstop, followed by the 100-day EMA at $1.188 and the 50-day EMA around $1.157. A deeper retracement, especially if overbought conditions trigger profit-taking, could see price revisit horizontal support close to $1.000.

XLM: Holding Above the 200-day EMA With Fibonacci Barriers Ahead

Stellar traded at $0.196 on Tuesday, building on a more than 27% advance from last week. The short-term bias is constructive, as price remains above the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day EMAs between roughly $0.180 and $0.190, indicating a solid platform following its latest breakout.

The RSI is near 65, indicating firm but not extreme upside momentum. The MACD also stays positive, with the MACD line above the signal line and the histogram still in positive territory. This suggests buyers still command the near-term trend, even as a broader downtrend resistance line continues to loom overhead.

On the upside, the first significant hurdle aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level around $0.200. Additional resistance levels are seen at the 50% retracement near $0.218 and the 38.2% retracement close to $0.237.

On the downside, the 200-day EMA at about $0.190 offers initial support. Below that, a concentrated demand band is formed by the 100-day EMA at $0.179 and the 50-day EMA at $0.177, reinforced by nearby horizontal support at $0.177.