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Key Moments

  • USD/CHF trades 0.26% lower around 0.8048 after the Swiss Franc gives back part of its earlier advance.
  • The US Dollar Index hovers near 100.80, down 0.14%, after touching a three-week low of 100.60.
  • Investors look ahead to next week’s US June CPI release, with core CPI expected to rise 2.9% YoY.

Swiss Franc Pulls Back Against the Dollar

The Swiss Franc (CHF) is paring some of its earlier gains versus the US Dollar (USD) in early European trade on Friday. The USD/CHF pair is down 0.26% and trades near 0.8048, even after a modest recovery in the US currency.

The pullback in the CHF comes as the Greenback finds some support, helped in part by a rebound in oil prices. Despite this, the broader tone for the US Dollar remains soft, with only limited buying interest visible.

Dollar Index and Oil Market Dynamics

At the time of writing, the US Dollar Index (DXY) – which tracks the performance of the US currency against six major counterparts – is 0.14% lower, trading close to 100.80. Earlier in the session, the index revisited a three-week low at 100.60 before stabilizing.

Oil prices, which had fallen sharply on Thursday, are recovering amid renewed geopolitical concerns. The earlier decline followed confirmation from a United States official that technical talks with Iran remain ongoing, even though President Donald Trump announced the collapse of the memorandum of understanding (MoU).

However, the continued exchange of attacks between the US and Iran has revived worries about potential disruptions to energy supplies. Such a scenario could add further upside pressure to US inflation.

Focus Shifts to Upcoming US CPI Release

Market participants are now turning their attention to US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for June, scheduled for release on Tuesday. The figures are expected to indicate that core CPI – which strips out food and oil – increased at a steady Year-on-Year (YoY) rate of 2.9%.

The inflation data are seen as a key gauge of current US price dynamics and may influence expectations for US monetary policy, with potential implications for the Dollar and broader FX markets.

Swiss Franc Performance Against Major Currencies

On a broader basis, the Swiss Franc is trading higher against most major peers. The exception is the Japanese Yen (JPY), against which the CHF is softer, reflecting a cautious overall market sentiment.

Instrument / IndicatorLatest Description
USD/CHF0.26% lower, trading around 0.8048
US Dollar Index (DXY)0.14% lower, near 100.80 after revisiting three-week low of 100.60
US Core CPI (June, expected)Anticipated 2.9% YoY increase

Background on the US Dollar and Federal Reserve Policy

The article also provides context on the role of the US Dollar in global markets and how Federal Reserve policy influences its value.

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