Join our community of traders FOR FREE!

  • Learn
  • Improve yourself
  • Get Rewards
Learn More

Key Moments

  • WTI briefly climbed toward $69.25 before attracting new selling interest and slipping back toward the mid-$68.00s.
  • Prices remain below the 200-day Simple Moving Average and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the December 2025-March 2026 advance, preserving a bearish near-term structure.
  • The Relative Strength Index hovers around 29 in oversold territory, while the MACD stays negative, highlighting downside risk but leaving room for a corrective bounce.

WTI Extends Weekly Slide Despite Modest Intraday Rebound

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the benchmark U.S. crude oil contract, drew renewed selling interest after a brief intraday rise toward the $69.25 region on Friday. That move followed a modest rebound from the lowest level reached since late February a day earlier. The contract was recently trading just above the mid-$68.00s, showing a gain of about 0.30% on the session, yet it has remained positioned to post a loss for the fourth week in a row.

Technical Picture: Bearish Bias Persists Below Key Averages

From a chart perspective, WTI continues to exhibit a negative short-term bias while it trades under the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the December 2025-March 2026 upswing. This alignment keeps selling pressure in focus, even as shorter-term indicators flash oversold conditions.

The 14-period Relative Strength Index sits near 29, firmly in oversold territory, which highlights the possibility of a temporary corrective move higher. This dynamic suggests traders may need to exercise restraint before adding to short positions, given the risk of a near-term rebound.

At the same time, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator remains in negative territory, reinforcing the notion that downside momentum has not yet been neutralized. A clearer signal of renewed bearish extension would come from a decisive drop below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, located around $67.50. A sustained move under that level would support a slide toward a deeper support zone near the prior cycle low at $55.12.

Key Technical Levels: Supports and Resistance Zones

On the upside, any attempt to recover is expected to confront several notable resistance layers. The first barrier is the 200-day SMA near $73.19, which represents an important threshold for altering the current bearish tone. Above that, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement around $77.23 forms the next significant cap.

Further overhead, price action would likely encounter additional resistance at the 50.0% retracement near $84.05. If buying were to extend beyond that zone, subsequent obstacles line up at the 38.2% retracement around $90.88 and the 23.6% retracement close to $99.33.

LevelTypePrice
Prior cycle lowSupport$55.12
78.6% Fibonacci retracementSupport trigger$67.50
200-day SMAResistance$73.19
61.8% Fibonacci retracementResistance$77.23
50.0% Fibonacci retracementResistance$84.05
38.2% Fibonacci retracementResistance$90.88
23.6% Fibonacci retracementResistance$99.33
TradingPedia.com is a financial media specialized in providing daily news and education covering Forex, equities and commodities. Our academies for traders cover Forex, Price Action and Social Trading.

Related News

  • Pfizer earnings report beats estimatesPfizer earnings report beats estimates Pfizer Inc reported second-quarter earnings slightly ahead of estimates today as the largest U.S. drug-maker lines up a business split that could lead to the spin off of its generics division.The company, experiencing falling sales of its […]
  • Forex Market: AUD/USD daily forecastForex Market: AUD/USD daily forecast During yesterday’s trading session AUD/USD traded within the range of 0.9333-0.9382 and closed at 0.9363.At 9:38 GMT AUD/USD traded at 0.9401, gaining 0.46% for the day. The pair touched a daily high at 0.9409 at 5:25 GMT, breaching the […]
  • Gold weekly recap, December 2 – December 6Gold weekly recap, December 2 – December 6 Gold fell on Friday amid speculations that better-than-expected US data may prompt the Federal Reserve to taper stimulus. Assets in the SPDR Gold Trust, the biggest bullion-backed ETF, remained for a second day at the lowest since January […]
  • Gold futures weekly recap, September 1 – September 5Gold futures weekly recap, September 1 – September 5 Gold futures logged significant losses this week, as a stronger dollar and speculation of peace in Ukraine weighed on the precious metal. The ECB surprisingly lowered the central interest rate, spurring a sizable drop for the euro, […]
  • Commodity Market: Gold rises a second day, but caution dominates sentiment ahead of Fed’s two-day policy meetingCommodity Market: Gold rises a second day, but caution dominates sentiment ahead of Fed’s two-day policy meeting Gold prices rose for a second straight day on Tuesday, but the precious metal traded within a relatively tight range, due to investor caution ahead of the Fed's two-day policy meeting."Given the enthusiasm for risk and growth exposed […]
  • Gold above the $1 400 mark on renewed Syria jittersGold above the $1 400 mark on renewed Syria jitters Gold futures fell toward negative territory in European trading on Wednesday but remained firmly above the $1 400 mark as President Barack Obama won opposition lawmakers support ahead of the upcoming vote in Congress on September 9, which […]