Key Moments
- WTI briefly climbed toward $69.25 before attracting new selling interest and slipping back toward the mid-$68.00s.
- Prices remain below the 200-day Simple Moving Average and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the December 2025-March 2026 advance, preserving a bearish near-term structure.
- The Relative Strength Index hovers around 29 in oversold territory, while the MACD stays negative, highlighting downside risk but leaving room for a corrective bounce.
WTI Extends Weekly Slide Despite Modest Intraday Rebound
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the benchmark U.S. crude oil contract, drew renewed selling interest after a brief intraday rise toward the $69.25 region on Friday. That move followed a modest rebound from the lowest level reached since late February a day earlier. The contract was recently trading just above the mid-$68.00s, showing a gain of about 0.30% on the session, yet it has remained positioned to post a loss for the fourth week in a row.
Technical Picture: Bearish Bias Persists Below Key Averages
From a chart perspective, WTI continues to exhibit a negative short-term bias while it trades under the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the December 2025-March 2026 upswing. This alignment keeps selling pressure in focus, even as shorter-term indicators flash oversold conditions.
The 14-period Relative Strength Index sits near 29, firmly in oversold territory, which highlights the possibility of a temporary corrective move higher. This dynamic suggests traders may need to exercise restraint before adding to short positions, given the risk of a near-term rebound.
At the same time, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator remains in negative territory, reinforcing the notion that downside momentum has not yet been neutralized. A clearer signal of renewed bearish extension would come from a decisive drop below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, located around $67.50. A sustained move under that level would support a slide toward a deeper support zone near the prior cycle low at $55.12.
Key Technical Levels: Supports and Resistance Zones
On the upside, any attempt to recover is expected to confront several notable resistance layers. The first barrier is the 200-day SMA near $73.19, which represents an important threshold for altering the current bearish tone. Above that, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement around $77.23 forms the next significant cap.
Further overhead, price action would likely encounter additional resistance at the 50.0% retracement near $84.05. If buying were to extend beyond that zone, subsequent obstacles line up at the 38.2% retracement around $90.88 and the 23.6% retracement close to $99.33.
| Level | Type | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Prior cycle low | Support | $55.12 |
| 78.6% Fibonacci retracement | Support trigger | $67.50 |
| 200-day SMA | Resistance | $73.19 |
| 61.8% Fibonacci retracement | Resistance | $77.23 |
| 50.0% Fibonacci retracement | Resistance | $84.05 |
| 38.2% Fibonacci retracement | Resistance | $90.88 |
| 23.6% Fibonacci retracement | Resistance | $99.33 |





