Key Moments
- XRP trades around $1.148 on Tuesday, remaining below its 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day EMAs and preserving a broader bearish setup.
- XLM holds near $0.197 above its 50-day and 100-day EMAs, but the 200-day EMA at $0.198 limits upside and coincides with fading bullish momentum.
- Derivatives metrics, including long-to-short ratios and funding rates, point to a bearish tilt for both XRP and XLM, with negative funding persisting into Tuesday.
Derivatives Positioning Leans Bearish
Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) remain under pressure on Tuesday despite modest gains over the prior two sessions following a sharp selloff the previous week. Derivatives flows and on-chain readings for both tokens indicate that recent advances are being interpreted as countertrend moves within a broader downside phase.
Futures positioning underscores this cautious tone. CoinGlass’ long-to-short ratio stands at 0.87 for XRP and 0.73 for XLM on Tuesday, hovering near their lowest readings in more than a month. Ratios below 1.0 indicate that short positions dominate, reflecting expectations among traders that prices may continue to decline.
Funding dynamics reinforce that view. Both XRP and XLM funding rates turned negative on Monday and continue to drift further into negative territory on Tuesday. In this environment, short sellers pay longs to maintain positions, a structure typically associated with prevailing bearish sentiment.
On-chain and Sentiment Data Show Mildly Negative Bias
According to CryptoQuant’s summary metrics, sentiment toward both XRP and XLM is mixed but tilts slightly to the downside.
For XRP, spot market flows show large whale orders while other indicators appear more neutral. This backdrop leaves room for recovery attempts, although these remain constrained by the overarching downtrend structure.
By contrast, XLM exhibits a “heating” condition in both spot and futures arenas, characterized by rising retail participation and dominance from the buy side. Despite appearing constructive at first glance, this setup is interpreted as mildly bearish, as it may limit the sustainability of any rebound and restrict upside potential.
XRP Technical Picture: Downtrend Structure Intact
XRP changes hands at $1.148 on Tuesday, extending its bearish phase and staying well below its key moving averages. The token trades under the 50-day EMA at $1.319, the 100-day EMA at $1.407, and the 200-day EMA at $1.613. This alignment of descending EMAs above spot price maintains a clear downside bias.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) near 32 shows that momentum is approaching oversold territory, but not yet at levels that provide a definitive bullish signal. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator stays below the zero line, with the MACD line itself in negative territory, indicating that bearish momentum remains in force even though recent selling pressure is less intense than in earlier sessions.
XRP: Key Levels to Watch
On the upside, XRP faces a dense resistance band. Initial resistance appears around the psychologically important $1.300 level, closely aligned with the upper edge of a descending parallel channel near $1.308 and the 50-day EMA at $1.319. This cluster represents the first substantial supply zone that would need to be reclaimed to alleviate immediate selling pressure.
Above that area, the 100-day EMA at $1.407 and the 200-day EMA at $1.613 form additional layers of resistance before the longer-term horizontal barrier near $1.900. As long as XRP trades beneath this stacked overhead structure, market participants are likely to treat any bounces as corrective moves within a larger bearish framework.
| XRP Technical Levels (Tuesday) | Price |
|---|---|
| Spot price | $1.148 |
| 50-day EMA | $1.319 |
| 100-day EMA | $1.407 |
| 200-day EMA | $1.613 |
| Initial resistance zone | $1.300 – $1.319 |
| Longer-term resistance | Near $1.900 |
XLM Technical Setup: Supportive Averages, But Momentum Softens
Stellar trades at $0.197 on Tuesday. XLM continues to hold above its shorter-term trend gauges, with the 50-day EMA at $0.182 and the 100-day EMA at $0.179, lending a neutral-to-slightly constructive tone. However, the advance is being restrained by the 200-day EMA at $0.198, which sits just above the current price and acts as near-term resistance.
The daily RSI around 52 points to balanced momentum after a recent spike higher, implying neither overbought nor oversold conditions. At the same time, the MACD has slipped below the zero line, signaling that upside momentum is fading and that buyers may need to recapture the 200-day EMA to restore a stronger bullish case.
XLM: Critical Resistance and Support Zones
On the topside, the immediate hurdle is the 200-day EMA near $0.198. If bulls manage to sustain a break above this level, the next significant resistance emerges at the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the broader downswing at $0.226.
On the downside, initial support sits at a horizontal area around $0.185. Below that, the 50-day EMA at $0.182 and the 100-day EMA at $0.179 form a nearby support cluster. A convincing move beneath this group of levels would open the door toward deeper supports near $0.143 and the previous swing low around $0.136.
| XLM Technical Levels (Tuesday) | Price |
|---|---|
| Spot price | $0.197 |
| 50-day EMA | $0.182 |
| 100-day EMA | $0.179 |
| 200-day EMA | $0.198 |
| Key downside supports | $0.185, $0.182, $0.179, $0.143, $0.136 |
| Next notable resistance | $0.226 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement) |
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