Key Moments
- Solana (SOL) trades above $131 on Monday, approaching the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern and eyeing a potential breakout.
- Spot Solana ETFs have attracted steady weekly net inflows since their October 28 launch, lifting total net assets to $907.18 million.
- A break above the wedge pattern could open the way toward resistance at $160, while a downside move may revisit the November 21 low at $121.66.
Institutional Interest in Spot Solana ETFs Strengthens
Solana (SOL) holds above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, with price action pressing against the upper edge of a falling wedge formation and awaiting a decisive move. On the institutional front, appetite for spot Solana Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) has remained strong, driving total assets under management close to the $1 billion mark since launch.
Institutional demand for SOL has been building since the products debuted on October 28. According to SoSoValue, spot Solana ETFs have posted positive net inflows every week since their introduction, with combined net assets reaching $907.18 million on Monday. This ongoing accumulation, even as spot prices consolidate, points to institutions using recent weakness to add exposure rather than reduce it, reinforcing a constructive view on SOL.
#Solana Holding at a Very Critical Support Zone 💣💥
It is key for $SOL to hold the 120$ neckline support, which represents a macro decision point.
If price breaks down below it, it opens the way for a 50$ $SOL. 📉 pic.twitter.com/2ZDRcFlWUN
— Bitcoinsensus (@Bitcoinsensus) December 15, 2025
ETF Flows and Derivatives Positioning
The consistent inflows into spot Solana ETFs highlight a sustained bid from larger market participants. The data suggests that instead of unwinding positions during consolidation, institutional investors have been positioning for further upside.
In the derivatives market, CoinGlass data reflects a similar bias. The long-to-short ratio for SOL stands at 1.07, the highest reading in more than a month. A ratio above 1 indicates that long positions outnumber shorts, signaling that traders in the derivatives space are positioning for a potential price advance.
| Metric | Latest Reading | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Spot SOL ETF total net assets | $907.18 million | SoSoValue |
| SOL long-to-short ratio | 1.07 | CoinGlass |
| Key downside level | $121.66 (November 21 low) | Price chart |
| Key resistance target | $160 (next daily resistance) | Price chart |
Solana Price Outlook: Wedge Break in Focus
On the technical side, SOL has been contained within a falling wedge pattern, defined by two converging downward-sloping trendlines connecting multiple swing highs and lows since early October. As of Monday, price is approaching the upper trendline of this formation.
A decisive break above this upper boundary would signal a potential bullish breakout and could enable an extension of the advance toward the next notable daily resistance level at $160.
Momentum indicators are starting to reflect easing downside pressure. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is currently at 42 and turning higher toward the neutral 50 mark, indicating that bearish momentum is fading. For buyers to retain control and reinforce an uptrend, the RSI would need to push and hold above the neutral level.
Key Levels to Watch
While the setup favors a possible upside resolution from the falling wedge, risks to the downside remain. Should SOL fail to break higher and instead undergo a pullback, price could retreat toward the November 21 low at $121.66, a level that may act as an important support reference.
Traders and investors will be closely monitoring the interaction with the wedge boundary, ETF flow trends, and derivatives positioning for confirmation of the next directional move.
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