Nasdaq Futures Stabilize in Core Range After Sharp Reversal From Resistance

Key Moments

Nasdaq futures twice failed to break above 25,855, confirming it as a structural resistance level and triggering a 214-point downside rotation.
The decline carried price into the confluence of the 6-day rising channel base, the Monthly POC, and projected intraday support near 25,591.
As of early Tuesday in the Asian session, the Index trades near 25,719, holding above the key 25,560–25,677 middle structure that continues to guide short-term direction.

Intraday Reversal Confirms Overhead Ceiling

During the Monday U.S. session, Nasdaq futures made another attempt to extend higher into the upper structural band but stalled once more at 25,855. This was the same level that halted upside progress in the prior session, effectively confirming 25,855 as a firm resistance cap.

Following this failure, price turned sharply lower. Futures slid through 25,805 and the Monthly Value Area High (Monthly VAH), triggering a high-probability downside swing of 214 points. That rotation carried the market directly into a cluster of key supports:

The lower boundary of the 6-day rising price channel
The Monthly Point of Control (Monthly POC)
The projected intraday support area around 25,591

This sequence closely matched the previously outlined structural roadmap, with the downside move completing a textbook rotation from the upper resistance back into channel and volume-based support.

After rejecting 25,855 twice and rotating down through 25,805 and the Monthly VAH, the 214-point move completed into the base of the 6-day channel and the Monthly POC. The Index then rebounded and now trades above the pivotal 25,677 level, where the intermediate “middle structure” continues to define near-term direction.

Intraday Structure: Trend Intact but Testing Key Boundaries

Despite the forceful downside response, the intraday trend framework remains technically intact. Price continues to defend the lower edge of the 6-day ascending channel, signaling that the short-term uptrend is still operational, though under pressure.

As of early Tuesday during the Asian session, the Index is trading near 25,719, back above the critical intraday pivot at 25,677. This keeps the spotlight on the central structural zone that has governed the majority of recent swings.

Key Structural Zones to Watch

Zone	Price Range	Role
Middle structure	25,560–25,677	Primary decision area for near-term direction
Upper structure	25,805–25,936	Overhead resistance band buyers must reclaim
Lower structure	25,428–25,297	Downside rotation zone if middle structure fails

Middle Structure: Core Decision Band at 25,560–25,677

The 25,560–25,677 band continues to operate as the central decision zone for the market. Price behavior around this area has repeatedly shaped the directional bias in recent sessions.

Holding above 25,560–25,677 suggests potential for a renewed push higher toward the upper structural band.
A clear break below 25,560 would indicate room for a deeper downside rotation.

Each major turn in recent trading has emerged from this middle structure, underscoring its importance as the primary pivot region.

Upper Structure: 25,805–25,936 Remains Critical for Bulls

The repeated rejection at 25,855 emphasizes the strength of the upper structure between 25,805 and 25,936. This area continues to act as a barrier to sustained upside progress.

A breakout and sustained trade above 25,805–25,936 would unlock the next upside extension toward:

25,936
The major daily projection band at 25,888–26,320

Firm acceptance above this upper structure would signal a meaningful shift back in favor of buyers, confirming a more decisive bullish control of the tape.

Lower Structure: 25,428–25,297 as the Next Downside Rotation Zone

If the middle structure at 25,560–25,677 fails to hold, attention shifts to the lower support cluster between 25,428 and 25,297. This region has previously served as a dependable rotation area during pullbacks.

A move into this zone would represent a deeper structural test within the existing framework and would require reassessment of whether selling pressure is likely to extend further.

Daily Chart Context: Intraday Action Echoes Long-Range Structure

The intraday failures at 25,855 align closely with resistance visible on the daily timeframe. Price continues to lean into a broader supply band spanning 25,888 to 26,320.

On the daily chart, momentum gauges show a developing bearish divergence, hinting at a possible pause or corrective phase unless the structural picture is refreshed. Even so, the broader daily pattern is still considered constructive as long as price holds above the 25,560–25,677 middle structure.

A decisive breakdown through that key band would mark a more significant change in the trend profile, suggesting that the current constructive bias is under threat.

Recent intraday rejection thus mirrors the long-range resistance regime, with price pressing into the 25,888–26,320 cluster while daily closes continue to hold above 25,560–25,677. This maintains the bullish structural backdrop even as early signs of divergence appear.

Directional Scenarios

Scenario	Conditions	Implications / Targets
Bullish	Defend 25,560–25,677 Break above 25,805	Upside objective at 25,936 Then extension into 25,888–26,320
Bearish	Lose 25,560	Rotation into 25,428–25,297 Reevaluate structure for potential continuation toward lower levels

Market at an Inflection Point

The Monday session slotted neatly into the existing MacroStructure framework. Price once again failed at the established upper boundary, then rotated almost precisely down to the base of the 6-day ascending channel. Throughout, trading has remained contained within clearly defined structural zones that have repeatedly guided major intraday and short-term swings.

The Index now stands at a pivotal juncture:

Holding above the middle structure at 25,560–25,677 favors a renewed upswing toward upper resistance.
Breaking below that band would indicate a deeper structural retest is unfolding.

With intraday and daily levels in alignment, the roadmap for the next move remains well-structured and actionable. As the latest session illustrated, structural levels continue to lead market behavior: price aligns with these zones, while any accompanying news tends to lag.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Markets involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results.