Forex Market: AUD/USD trading outlook for May 30th

Written by Miroslav Marinov

Miroslav Marinov, a financial news editor at TradingPedia, is engaged with observing and reporting on the tendencies in the Foreign Exchange Market, as currently his focus is set on the major currencies of eight developed nations worldwide.

, | Updated: October 30, 2024

Friday’s trade saw AUD/USD within the range of 0.7172-0.7235. The pair closed at 0.7181, going down 0.62% on a daily basis. It has been the 12th drop in the past 22 trading days and also the sharpest one since May 18th, when the pair fell 1.30%. In weekly terms, AUD/USD lost 0.57% of its value during the current week. It has been the 12th drop in the past 21 weeks and also a sixth consecutive one. AUD/USD has gone down 5.55% so far during the current month, following a 0.72% slump in April.

On Monday (May 30th) AUD/USD trading may be influenced by the following macroeconomic report as listed below.

Fundamentals

Australia

New Home Sales

At 1:00 GMT on Monday the Australian Housing Industry Association (HIA) is expected to report on new home sales in the country regarding April. In March sales climbed 8.9% from a month ago to reach 7 986 units. It has been the sharpest monthly increase since January 2010. Sales of detached homes went up 7.0% in March from a month ago, while sales in the multi-unit segment rose 16.3%.

US Memorial Day

May 30th is the Memorial Day federal holiday, wherein the men and women, who lost their lives while serving in the United States Armed Forces are remembered. The holiday, celebrated every year on the final Monday of May, was previously known as Decoration Day and originated after the American Civil War in order to commemorate the Union and Confederate soldiers killed in the Civil War. Banks in the country are to remain closed.

Correlation with other Majors

Taking into account the business week ended on May 27th and the daily closing levels of the currency pairs involved, we come to the following conclusions in regard to the strength of relationship:

AUD/USD to EUR/USD (0.9502, or very strong)
AUD/USD to NZD/USD (0.7180, or strong)
AUD/USD to USD/CAD (-0.0541, or very weak)
AUD/USD to GBP/USD (-0.3797, or moderate)
AUD/USD to USD/JPY (-0.7944, or strong)
AUD/USD to USD/CHF (-0.9685, or very strong)

1. During the examined period AUD/USD moved almost equally in one and the same direction with EUR/USD, while moving almost equally in the opposite direction compared to USD/CHF.

2. AUD/USD moved strongly one and the same direction with NZD/USD during the week, while moving strongly in the opposite direction compared to USD/JPY.

3. AUD/USD moved almost independently compared to USD/CAD during the period in question.