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Forex Market: GBP/HKD daily forecast

During yesterday’s trading session GBP/HKD traded within the range of 13.2695-13.2931 and closed at 13.2841.

At 7:13 GMT today GBP/HKD was losing 0.11% for the day to trade at 13.2683. The pair touched a daily low at 13.2668 at 7:02 GMT, breaching the first key support.

Fundamental view

The jobless rate in Hong Kong probably remained unchanged at 3.1% in June, matching the 3.1% reading in the previous month. The jobless rate in the country averaged 3.75% from 1981 until 2014, marking an all time high of 8.5% in June 2003 and a record low of 1% in July 1989.

The unemployment rate is compiled, based on data obtained from a monthly General Household Survey. The workforce is defined as the land-based non-institutional population aged 15 and over. On the other hand, the unemployed people should fulfill the following conditions: haven’t worked for pay or profit in the 7 days before enumeration; haven’t had the ability to work in the 7 days before enumeration; have actively sought work 30 days before enumeration.

The Hong Kong unemployment rate will be reported by the nation’s Census and Statistics Department at 8:30 GMT. In case the jobless rate is lower-than-expected, this would heighten the appeal of the Hong Kong dollar.

Technical view

Screenshot from 2014-07-17 10:05:01

According to Binary Tribune’s daily analysis, in case GBP/HKD manages to breach the first resistance level at 13.2950, it will probably continue up to test 13.3058. In case the second key resistance is broken, the pair will probably attempt to advance to 13.3186.

If GBP/HKD manages to breach the first key support at 13.2714, it will probably continue to slide and test 13.2586. With this second key support broken, the movement to the downside will probably continue to 13.2478.

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