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Forex Market: USD/MXN daily forecast

During yesterday’s trading session USD/MXN traded within the range of 12.9791-13.0256 and closed at 12.9877.

At 8:46 GMT today USD/MXN was gaining 0.04% for the day to trade at 12.9856. The pair touched a daily high at 12.9916 at 2:30 GMT.

Fundamental view

United States

At 18:00 GMT the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will release the minutes from its meeting on policy held on June 18-19th. The minutes offer detailed insights on FOMC’s monetary policy stance. The release is closely examined by traders, as it may provide clues over interest rate decisions in the future. High volatility is usually present after the publication.

Mexico

The annualized index of consumer prices (CPI) in Mexico probably rose 3.78% in June, according to the median forecast by experts, from 3.51% in May. The index measures the change in price levels of a basket of goods and services from consumer’s perspective and also reflects purchasing trends. In case the CPI rose more than projected, this would have a bullish effect on the Mexican peso.

Insituto Nacional de Estadistica Y Geografia is expected to release the official report at 13:00 GMT.

Technical view

Screenshot from 2014-07-09 11:50:38

According to Binary Tribune’s daily analysis, in case USD/MXN manages to breach the first resistance level at 13.0158, it will probably continue up to test 13.0440. In case the second key resistance is broken, the pair will probably attempt to advance to 13.0623.

If USD/MXN manages to breach the first key support at 12.9695, it will probably continue to slide and test 12.9510. With this second key support broken, the movement to the downside will probably continue to 12.9228.

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