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Forex Market: GBP/CAD daily forecast

During yesterday’s trading session GBP/CAD traded within the range of 1.8290-1.8406 and closed at 1.8357.

At 7:13 GMT today GBP/CAD was losing 0.07% for the day to trade at 1.8360. The pair touched a daily low at 1.8354 at 7:00 GMT.

Fundamental view

United Kingdom

The deficit on United Kingdom’s trade balance probably widened to 8.650 billion GBP in April from a deficit figure of 8.478 billion GBP during the preceding month. This indicator is also known as visible trade balance, because it reflects the difference in value between exported and imported physical goods, without the inclusion of exported and imported services. Since UK economy is to a great extent dependent on trade, the visible trade balance is considered as a key factor, providing clues over the resilience of nation’s economic growth. In case UK trade deficit shrank more than anticipated, this would provide support to the pound. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) will publish the official figure at 8:30 GMT.

At the same time, the deficit on United Kingdom’s trade balance with countries outside the European Union probably narrowed to 3.150 billion GBP in April from a deficit of 3.190 billion GBP in the preceding month. A higher than expected deficit would have a bearish effect on nation’s currency.

Canada

The number of the employed people in Canada probably increased by 21 500 last month compared to April, according to the median forecast by experts. In April compared to March, the number of the employed unexpectedly dropped by 28 900. Creation of new job positions is considered of utmost importance for consumer spending. In case employment in the country increases more than expected, the loonie would be supported.

The rate of unemployment in Canada probably remained unchanged at 6.9% in May. Lower than expected unemployment would have a bullish effect on Canadian dollar. Statistics Canada is expected to release its official report at 12:30 GMT.

Technical view

Screenshot from 2014-06-06 10:17:54

According to Binary Tribune’s daily analysis, in case GBP/CAD manages to breach the first resistance level at 1.8412, it will probably continue up to test 1.8467. In case the second key resistance is broken, the pair will probably attempt to advance to 1.8528.

If GBP/CAD manages to breach the first key support at 1.8296, it will probably continue to slide and test 1.8235. With this second key support broken, the movement to the downside will probably continue to 1.8180.

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