Forex Market: GBP/CHF daily forecast

During yesterday’s trading session GBP/CHF traded within the range of 1.4828-1.4861 and closed at 1.4856.

At 6:09 GMT today GBP/CHF was adding 0.01% for the day to trade at 1.4857. The pair touched a daily high at 1.4863 at 6:06 GMT.

Fundamental view

Switzerland

The annualized index of consumer prices (CPI) in Switzerland probably rose 0.1% in April, after it remained flat in March. In monthly terms, consumer prices probably gained 0.1% last month, following a 0.4% advance in the previous month. In case the CPI accelerated more than anticipated in April, this would have a bullish effect on the franc. The official report is to be released at 7:15 GMT.

United Kingdom

At 11:00 GMT Bank of England is to announce its decision on monetary policy. The benchmark interest rate will probably be left unchanged at 0.50%. Short-term interest rates are of utmost importance for the valuation of national currencies. In case the central bank left intact or raised borrowing costs, this would have a bullish effect on the sterling.

At the same time, the monthly pace of bank’s monetary stimulus will probably be left intact as well, at 375 billion GBP. The central bank issues new money in order to purchase gilts from private investors such as pension funds and insurance companies. In case monetary stimulus is increased (in order to further spur economic growth), this will usually devalue nation’s currency.

Technical view

According to Binary Tribune’s daily analysis, in case GBP/CHF manages to breach the first resistance level at 1.4870, it will probably continue up to test 1.4881. In case the second key resistance is broken, the pair will probably attempt to advance to 1.4902.

If GBP/CHF manages to breach the first key support at 1.4836, it will probably continue to slide and test 1.4815. With this second key support broken, the movement to the downside will probably continue to 1.4803.