Yesterday’s trade saw USD/CAD within the range of 1.2471-1.2541. The pair closed at 1.2516, up 0.18% on a daily basis and marking a first gain in the past three trading days.
At 9:10 GMT today USD/CAD was down 0.69% for the day to trade at 1.2431. The pair touched a daily low at 1.2413 at 8:20 GMT.
Fundamentals
United States
Initial, Continuing jobless claims
The number of people in the United States, who filed for unemployment assistance for the first time during the week ended on March 20th, probably decreased to 290 000 from 291 000 in the prior week. The 4-week moving average, an indicator lacking seasonal effects, was 304 750, marking an increase of 2 250 from the previous weeks revised up average.
Initial jobless claims number is a short-term indicator, reflecting lay-offs in the country. In case the number of claims dropped more than projected, this would have a bullish effect on the greenback.
The number of continuing jobless claims probably fell to the seasonally adjusted 2 403 000 during the week ended on March 13th. If so, this would be the lowest level since the week ended on January 30th, when 2 367 000 claims were reported. There were 2 417 000 claims registered during the week ended on March 6th. The latter represented a decrease by 11 000 compared to the revised up number of claims, reported during the week ended on February 27th. This indicator reflects the actual number of people unemployed and currently receiving unemployment benefits, who filed for unemployment assistance at least two weeks ago.
The Department of Labor is to release the weekly report at 12:30 GMT.
Services PMI by Markit – preliminary reading
At 14:45 GMT Markit Economics will report on activity in the US sector of services in March. In February the final seasonally adjusted PMI stood at 57.1, up from a preliminary value of 57.0. It has been the highest reading since October 2014, when the gauge came in at a final 57.1. The PMI is based on data collected from a representative panel of more than 400 private sector companies, which encompasses industries such as transport and communication, financial intermediaries, business and personal services, computing & IT and hotels and restaurants. Values above the key level of 50.0 indicate optimism (expanding activity). In case the PMI improved for a third straight month in March, this would be dollar positive.
Canada
BoC Poloz Statement
At 13:30 GMT Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz is expected to take a statement. High volatility of the loonie crosses is usually present during his speeches. He took up this post in June 2013 with a mandate of seven years.
Pivot Points
According to Binary Tribune’s daily analysis, the central pivot point for the pair is at 1.2509. In case USD/CAD manages to breach the first resistance level at 1.2548, it will probably continue up to test 1.2579. In case the second key resistance is broken, the pair will probably attempt to advance to 1.2618.
If USD/CAD manages to breach the first key support at 1.2478, it will probably continue to slide and test 1.2439. With this second key support broken, the movement to the downside will probably continue to 1.2408.
The mid-Pivot levels for today are as follows: M1 – 1.2424, M2 – 1.2459, M3 – 1.2494, M4 – 1.2529, M5 – 1.2564, M6 – 1.2599.
In weekly terms, the central pivot point is at 1.2620. The three key resistance levels are as follows: R1 – 1.2767, R2 – 1.2982, R3 – 1.3129. The three key support levels are: S1 – 1.2405, S2 – 1.2258, S3 – 1.2043.
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