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Euro Options Activity Highlights Ongoing Dollar Risk Hedging

February 20, 2026 7:50 am
Key Moments EUR/USD has traded back below 1.18, leaving the Euro only slightly stronger against the Dollar over the year. Options markets continue to show a persistent post-“Liberation Day” preference for hedging against Euro strength rather than Dollar strength. Commerzbank expects market participants to keep expressing Dollar concerns primarily through EUR options in the coming […] Read more

Crypto Majors Drift in Tight Ranges Downside Risk Build

February 20, 2026 7:02 am
Key Moments Bitcoin (BTC) has been confined between $65,729 and $71,746 since February 7, with momentum indicators signaling rising bearish pressure despite a lingering bullish MACD crossover. Ethereum (ETH) is moving toward the lower end of its consolidation band at $1,747, with a potential slide to $1,669 if support fails. XRP is holding above a […] Read more

Europe’s Green Steel Premiums Squeezed as Costs Climb

February 19, 2026 3:21 pm
Key Moments European flat-rolled green steel premiums fell to €125 per tonne, down from €160 per tonne a year earlier, amid subdued traded volumes below 200,000 tonnes. Reduced-carbon flat steel premiums dropped by 50% in the past three months to just €25 per tonne, signaling a stronger buyer focus on cost rather than marginal emissions […] Read more

XRP Maintains Support Amid Euro Stablecoin Launch on Ledger

February 19, 2026 2:40 pm
Key Moments XRP traded near $1.41 on Thursday, hovering just above key psychological support at $1.40 as downside pressure persisted. Societe Generale-FORGE launched its euro-pegged EUR CoinVertible (EURCV) stablecoin on the XRP Ledger, citing scalability and low-cost transactions as core drivers. XRP spot ETFs recorded $2.2 million in outflows on Wednesday, underscoring risk-off sentiment despite […] Read more

Dollar Rises vs Swiss Franc on Fed Signals

February 19, 2026 1:17 pm
Key Moments USD/CHF trades near 0.7750 after rebounding from an intraday low around 0.7694. Switzerland’s trade surplus widens to CHF 3,818 million as exports rise and imports decline, while Industrial Production drops 0.7% YoY in Q4. Federal Reserve Meeting Minutes point to a cautious stance on rate cuts, underpinning US Dollar strength despite expectations of […] Read more

GBP/USD Falls on Dollar Strength, Fed Signals Extended Pause

February 19, 2026 10:35 am
Key Moments GBP/USD trades at 1.3497, leaving the pair down 1.14% for the week. Fed minutes indicate officials are in no rush to cut rates. Some may consider hikes if inflation stays elevated. The U.S. dollar has gained about 0.6% on a DXY basis and is 1.2% stronger than last week’s low. Fed Minutes Revive […] Read more

Fed Minutes Spotlight USD/JPY as Dollar Rally Wavers

February 19, 2026 9:53 am
Key Moments The Fed minutes showed that the New York Fed checked USD/JPY levels for the US Treasury. This is unusually direct attention to a currency pair. Most Fed officials want clearer evidence of lower inflation before cutting rates further. Money markets still price in two cuts this year. European equities outperformed US benchmarks in […] Read more

Tensions Shake Oil, Gas, and Broader Commodity Trade

February 19, 2026 8:57 am
Key Moments ICE Brent jumped 4.35% to settle above $70/bbl as concerns over potential US action against Iran intensified. European natural gas benchmark TTF climbed almost 5.6%, with traders focused on LNG transit risks through the Strait of Hormuz. London cocoa prices extended a nine-session slide, dropping 26% from recent levels to the lowest since […] Read more

Gold Futures Set to Break Out as VC PMI Ends Pullback

February 19, 2026 7:52 am
Key Moments Gold futures have stabilized above the daily VC PMI mean at 4963 while holding the Buy-1 support zone at 4916. A confirmed close above the weekly mean at 5030 is expected to shift conditions from consolidation to bullish momentum, with immediate resistance at 5057 and 5104. Time-cycle analysis into late February and early […] Read more

Crypto Rally Hits Ceiling as WLFI, SKY, ATOM Test Bars

February 19, 2026 7:12 am
Key Moments World Liberty Financial (WLFI) extends a three-day advance but stalls near resistance at $0.1215. Sky (SKY) builds on a 5% rebound from its 50-day EMA at $0.06381, approaching a key supply zone around $0.070000. Cosmos (ATOM) holds above $2.300 after a 4% bounce, confronting resistance at $2.346 linked to a prior low. WLFI […] Read more